Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.357795 0.422111 0.492926 0.576442 0.671994 0.777645 0.903038
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.254396 0.337807 0.439059 0.569962 0.733545 0.929957 1.182234
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.194286 0.285958 0.406940 0.575823 0.802592 1.093330 1.490466
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.151956 0.245320 0.378000 0.575942 0.858441 1.240951 1.790443
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.116316 0.205032 0.340168 0.554483 0.877660 1.336982 2.026566
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.099142 0.188526 0.332977 0.574099 0.954576 1.517064 2.391966
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.084719 0.173099 0.324062 0.588243 1.022672 1.688063 2.756137
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.076843 0.167281 0.329414 0.624924 1.128236 1.922447 3.231241
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.064579 0.150564 0.312910 0.621809 1.167584 2.055757 3.559392
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.053832 0.134405 0.294516 0.612202 1.193684 2.168194 3.860610
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.045415 0.121186 0.279338 0.605855 1.223632 2.287626 4.179411
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.039928 0.113231 0.273193 0.615403 1.282158 2.458386 4.593075
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.034686 0.104853 0.265216 0.621052 1.335364 2.626363 5.018045
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029927 0.096548 0.256063 0.623129 1.381994 2.786378 5.440668
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.026372 0.090510 0.250965 0.632920 1.444308 2.978808 5.932300
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.022840 0.083597 0.242599 0.634361 1.489672 3.142713 6.382506
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.018646 0.073490 0.224566 0.611499 1.482405 3.206421 6.653210
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.017067 0.071098 0.225695 0.633039 1.570403 3.458337 7.287096
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.015413 0.067991 0.224388 0.648508 1.646457 3.691495 7.898257
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.014807 0.068374 0.232686 0.688449 1.779645 4.045986 8.759490
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.012817 0.063120 0.224175 0.685072 1.815186 4.205776 9.252543
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.010908 0.057499 0.213508 0.674623 1.833290 4.330541 9.683077
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009369 0.052798 0.204675 0.667719 1.858670 4.471337 10.151874